---
title: Why recessions are inevitable  - The Hustle
description: Recessions are inevitable, but how you respond is up to you.
image: https://hs-sbup.thehustle.co/hubfs/The%20Hustle%20News/Assets/Images/812331629-final_size-Morgan27s20Musings-032028129_20220615231104.webp
---

# Why recessions are inevitable

![Morgan Housel](https://53.fs1.hubspotusercontent-na1.net/hubfs/53/assets/hubspot.com/web-team/WBZ/HubSpot%20Media/Blog%202021/Images/Nav/Optimized/TheHustle_Icon_Dark.svg) [Morgan Housel](https://hs-sbup.thehustle.co/author/morgan-housel) [Morgan Housel Twitter profile ](https://twitter.com/MorganHousel)

Published:  June 16, 2022

Updated:  October 11, 2023

As markets continue to wobble and more people discuss the possibility of heading into a recession, let me share a fundamental truth about money:

![Why recessions are inevitable](https://hs-sbup.thehustle.co/hs-fs/hubfs/The%20Hustle%20News/Assets/Images/812331629-final_size-Morgan27s20Musings-032028129_20220615231104.webp?width=595&height=400&name=812331629-final_size-Morgan27s20Musings-032028129_20220615231104.webp)

- If markets never crashed, they wouldn’t be risky.
- If they weren’t risky, they would get expensive.
- When they’re expensive, they crash.

So markets will always crash, because if they didn’t, they would become more susceptible to crashing.

**The same is true for recessions**

When the economy is stable, people become optimistic.

- When they get optimistic, they go into debt.
- When they go into debt, the economy becomes unstable.
- When it’s unstable, you eventually get a recession.

A lack of recessions plants the seeds of the next recession, which is why we can never get rid of them. In other words, stability is destabilizing —  something economist Hyman Minsky figured out half a century ago.

It’s one of the most useful observations in investing because it explains why volatility is both inevitable and caused by people acting reasonably.

**Here’s why this is important**

If you view every debt-fueled recession, market crash, and asset bubble as an example of your fellow people acting crazy, you might become cynical, which makes it hard to be a long-term optimist, even when you should be.

If you view them as inevitable, you realize they’re just part of the ride and an occasional reminder that the fasten-your-seat belt sign should never be turned off.

None of this is fun, but virtually all of it is inevitable.

Try to enjoy the ride.

Topics: [Economy](https://hs-sbup.thehustle.co/tag/economy)

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